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jsnelllast Friday at 10:02 PM1 replyview on HN

That seems like a non sequitur.

He is making two arguments. One is that AI capex is starving other industries. And the other that AI capex is causing major GDP growth, attributed to both the direct investments themselves, as well as the multiplier effects.

One of those could be true. But I assert that both cannot be true at the same time. If these direct investments were going to happen elsewhere if they weren't happening for AI infrastructure then that counterfactual spending would show up in the GDP instead, as would the multiplier effect from that spending.


Replies

tuatoruyesterday at 9:58 AM

If AI's demand for money drives up the hurdle rate, the minimum rate of return that investors are prepared to accept, then AI investment could both be large and starving other industries of investment.

Increasing demand does increase the price in most markets.