alt Hacker News> But above, they also have SW bugs as a potential trigger, so
They also did extensive tests and analyses and came to the conclusion that a bug was highly unlikely (they would never say that something is impossible, but it still is exceedingly improbable).
> Essentially, they don't know for sure yet.
That’s not a really fair assessment. Their conclusion is that they could not estimate the likelihood of a radiation effect, so in that sense they don’t know for sure. But they still eliminated a lot of options. Almost all of them, actually.
I think it's a quite fair assessment. It's not an indictment of their engineering or anything, but they can't say for sure what caused the issue and the analyzed all they could. The conclusion is "we don't know, we have some guesses". Probably it irks me the most because "cosmic rays" are impossible to prove. It's the perfect scapegoat. If I had a penny every time that someone put it out as the possible cause of a bug... I'd still be poor, but... well, I'd have a couple of pennies.
EDIT: On a deeper read, I am inclined to be a bit more charitable to this theory because, to my surprise: "As noted in section 3.5.2, the CPU module on units 4167 and 4122 did not incorporate EDAC"
I did not consider these units were _this_ old, so they did not have error correction on them. Nowadays, most every MCU has ECC on them. So, yes, without ECC the odds are quite larger that they DID get a "bit flip"