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teaearlgraycoldyesterday at 5:02 PM1 replyview on HN

LLMs have failed to live up to the hype, but they haven't failed outright.


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HardCodedBiasyesterday at 5:12 PM

Two claims here:

1) LLMs have failed to live up to the hype.

Maybe. Depends upon's who's hype. But I think it is fine to say that we don't have AGI today (however that is defined) and that some people hyped that up.

2) LLMs haven't failed outright

I think that this is a vast understatement.

LLMs have been a wild success. At big tech over 40% of checked in code is LLM generated. At smaller companies the proportion is larger. ChatGPT has over 800 million weekly active users.

Students throughout the world, and especially in the developed world are using "AI" at 85-90% (from some surveys).

Between 40% of professionals and 90% (depending upon survey and profession) are using "AI".

This is 3 years after the launch of ChatGPT (and the capabilities of chatGPT 3.5 were so limited compared to today that it is a shame that they get bundled together in our discussions). I would say instead of "failed outright" that they are the most successful consumer product of all time (so far).

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