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nabla9today at 6:29 PM2 repliesview on HN

Everyone should read his argument carefully. Ponder them in silence and accept or reject them in based on the strength of the arguments.


Replies

scarmigtoday at 6:48 PM

His argument follows almost directly, and trivially, from his central premise: a 0% or 1% chance of reaching AGI.

Yeah, if you assume technology will stagnate over the next decade and AGI is essentially impossible, these investments will not be profitable. Sam Altman himself wouldn't dispute that. But it's a controversial premise, and one that there's no particular reason to think that the... CEO of IBM would have any insight into.

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nyc_data_geek1today at 6:45 PM

IBM can be a hot mess, and the CEO may not be wrong about this. These things are not mutually exclusive.