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emp17344today at 7:50 PM2 repliesview on HN

I think it’s entirely possible that AI actually has plateaued, or has reached a point where a jump in intelligence comes at the cost of reliability.


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hugh-avheraldtoday at 7:55 PM

I suspect it's reached the point where the distinguishing quality of one model over the others is only observable by true experts -- and only in their respective fields. We are exhausting the well of frontier questions that can be programmatically asked and the answers checked.

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lukantoday at 8:12 PM

AI in general? Not at all. LLM's maybe a little bit, when even Sam Altman said, the progress is logarithmic to the investment. Still, there is progress. And the potential of LLM based agents, where many different models and other technics are mixed in together, we just started to explore.