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tuna7410/02/20241 replyview on HN

"Here's an answer for you: the vast majority of software engineering is less like repetitive contracting and more like unpredictable lab experimentation."

I kind of doubt this, but have no numbers to back me up. Do you have any numbers or actual facts to support that statement?


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nine_zeros10/03/2024

> I kind of doubt this, but have no numbers to back me up. Do you have any numbers or actual facts to support that statement?

I don't have a measure of it but Google and Facebook did - and they found that estimation is BS and never achieved. They never institute scrum/kanban/agile nonsense as a result.

Without data, the constant and persistent failure to estimate projects - over 40 years - should be good enough data.

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