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The Illusion of Information Adequacy

29 pointsby omk10/11/20247 commentsview on HN

Comments

smitty1e10/12/2024

> they assume that the cross-section of relevant information to which they are privy is sufficient to adequately understand the situation

Is this not the Central Limit Theorem[1] ?

Nobody this side of Eternity is working with a full data set.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_limit_theorem

jgeada10/11/2024

Isn't this just restating the Dunning-Kruger effect?

Without sufficient domain knowledge you don't even know you don't have the right data, perspectives, or even know the apparent obvious paths that are actually blind alleys in a subject. Every field of human knowledge is full of these.

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the_real_cher10/11/2024

Telling someone they have the illusion of information adequacy is how smart people call people dumb.

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