logoalt Hacker News

mapt11/21/20244 repliesview on HN

Invite them in. Launch their satellites for them, at 400km. Give them cash or territory. Give away the farm. How doesn't matter. What matters is that we start coexisting at 300-500km, and we mutually taboo launching large amounts to altitudes much higher than that.

There is no stable Mutually Assured Destruction Nash equilibrium here, if either of us does this thing it causes dramatic harm to both.

Not regarding that as a worthwhile goal is "mineshaft gap" thinking - a zero-sum mentality entirely ignoring our collective advantage in order to pursue competitive advantage.

It is perfectly feasible to run a Chinese constellation alongside Starlink sharing the same space, orbitally. Very low orbits are self cleaning.


Replies

perihelions11/21/2024

Not agreeing with any of this.

- "Launch their satellites for them, at 400km."

No reasonable person would help their adversary build powerful weapons that could immediately be used against them. The point of satellite constellations—Chinese or American, either—is to create undeniable, high-bandwidth communications for armies; to create real-time (as opposed to sporadic) satellite imagery for armies; to create, in short, an overwhelming situational awareness advantage in a conventional war.

- "Give them cash or territory."

We are not giving away countries.

nradov11/21/2024

There is no world in which giving cash or territory to the Chinese Communist Party would be acceptable to US taxpayers, regardless of the consequences.

show 2 replies
blackeyeblitzar11/21/2024

Or just destroy their rockets and launch complexes. It’s better than Kessler syndrome.

show 1 reply
blackeyeblitzar11/21/2024

[flagged]

show 2 replies