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8note12/09/20241 replyview on HN

the assumption is told to you in that the game is expected to continue after monty opens a door. if he could open the prize door, the game would describe what happens when he does that


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btilly12/09/2024

No. That condition holds in all three of the scenarios that I stated. And yet you have 3 different answers. Switching 2/3 win, 1/2 win, and 0/1 win respectively.

You specifically need information that we haven't been given about the counterfactuals. What might Monty have done in other scenarios that we have not yet observed? We don't know. And we're not actually told. That makes that an implicit assumption that wasn't specified.