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suggestion12/09/20241 replyview on HN

Perhaps it'll be more intuitive to you if you scale the number of doors up. If there are 100 doors, only one containing a car, you pick one, the host reveals 98/99 remaining doors as goats, it's obvious the correct choice is to switch. The correct answer is a mathematically provable probability. 1% chance you picked the right door, 99% chance the door was in the remaining pool, therefore 99% chance the last remaining door is the correct door.


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oneshtein12/09/2024

If you will try to play this game in real life, with such logic it will be easy to trick you 100% of the time.

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