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LudwigNagasena12/10/20240 repliesview on HN

> It's very easy to demostrate as well: consider a trivia case where the distribution is just {P(1)=1/3, P(2)=1/3, P(3)=1/3} and you see 2 in the first envelope.

Seeing 2 is only one of the many possible cases. You haven’t calculated the total probability.