In the past five years I participated in a project (with Yosi Rinott and Tomer Shoham) to carefully examine the Google's 2019 "supremacy" claim. A short introduction to our work is described here: https://gilkalai.wordpress.com/2024/12/09/the-case-against-g.... We found in that experiment statistically unreasonable predictions (predictions that were "too good to be true") indicating methodological flaws. We also found evidence of undocumented global optimization in the calibration process.
In view of these and other findings my conclusion is that Google Quantum AI’s claims (including published ones) should be approached with caution, particularly those of an extraordinary nature. These claims may stem from significant methodological errors and, as such, may reflect the researchers’ expectations more than objective scientific reality.
I'm skeptical only because they have AI in the name.
What experimental data would you need to see to change your mind? Either from Google or from another player?
I've heared claims before that quantum computers are not real. But I didn't understand it. Can anybody explain the reasoning behind the criticism? Are they just simulated?