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Cthulhu_01/22/20253 repliesview on HN

It won't unless there's another (r)evolution in the underlying technology / science / algorithms, at this point scaling up just means they use bigger datasets or more iterations, but it's more finetuning and improving the existing output then coming up with a next generation / superintelligence.


Replies

miki12321101/22/2025

> It won't unless there's another (r)evolution in the underlying technology / science

I think reinforcement learning with little to no human feedback, O-1 / R-1 style, might be that revolution.

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Filligree01/22/2025

Okay, but let’s be pessimistic for a moment. What can we do if that revolution does happen, and they’re close to AGI?

I don’t believe the control problem is solved, but I’m not sure it would matter if it is.

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iLoveOncall01/22/2025

> bigger datasets

Not even, they already ran out of data.

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