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ChrisMarshallNY02/19/20252 repliesview on HN

Look at Venezuela.

Chavez was kind of a thug, but he was also immensely popular with the commons. The people supported him, in a lot of his goals, and he was able to have a light touch, on a lot of the authoritarian stuff.

When he stepped aside, and Maduro took over, Chavez had established what was basically a dictatorship, and Maduro took the reins.

However, Maduro does not have the base support that Chavez had, and has had to use the stick a lot more. That sort of sets up a negative feedback loop, where more stick, means unhappier people, pushing back, which needs more stick.

Even if the current GOP really does have the best interests of the people in mind, if they dismantle the checks and balances, it's highly likely that a successor will use the power badly.


Replies

dragonwriter02/19/2025

> Even if the current GOP really does have the best interests of the people in mind

Note that the Chavez/Maduro distinction you drew was not about “best interests of the people in mind” but the former being immensely popular and the latter not. The current Administration, whatever intent may exist in their minds, is very much not “immensely popular”.

worik02/20/2025

> it's highly likely that a successor will use the power badly.

You will not need to wait long, but you do not really need to wait at all.