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ArtTimeInvestorlast Thursday at 8:15 AM3 repliesview on HN

First, its not just about LLMs. Its not an LLM that replaced human drivers in Waymo cars.

Second, how could AI not be the deciding geopolitical factor of the future? You expect progress to stop and AI not to achieve and surpass human intelligence?


Replies

lompadlast Thursday at 8:28 AM

>First, its not just about LLMs. Its not an LLM that replaced human drivers in Waymo cars.

As far as I know, Waymo is still not even remotely able to operate in any kind of difficult environment, even though insane amounts of money have been poured into it. You are vastly overstating its capabilities.

Is it cool tech? Sure. Is it safely going to replace all drivers? Doubt, very much so.

Secondly, this only works if progress in AI does not stagnate. And, again, you have no grounds to actually make that claim. It's all built on the fanciful imagination that we're close to AGI. I disagree heavily and think, it's much further away than people profiting financially from the hype tend to claim.

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Eikonlast Thursday at 8:21 AM

> You expect progress to stop and AI not to achieve and surpass human intelligence?

A word generator is not intelligence. There’s no “thinking” involved here.

To surpass human intelligence, you’d first need to actually develop intelligence, and llms will not be it.

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ozorninlast Thursday at 8:35 AM

> how could AI not be the deciding geopolitical factor of the future?

Easily. Natural resources, human talent, land and supply chains all are and will be more important factors than AI

> You expect progress to stop

no

> and AI not to achieve and surpass human intelligence

yes