Any sufficiently advanced incompetence is indistinguishable from malice
At what point does incompetence /become/ malice?
There is certainly a level of incompetence that requires active ignorance to one's naivety. I'd certainly consider a stubborn person who arrogantly ignores concerns of experts malicious. The active nature certainly matters.
Yes and: fraud and errors are often indistinguishable.
People with malice like Elon Musk have noticed the widespread use of this aphorism and repeatedly leverage it to their advantage.
This is correct. Depending on the stakes, the right answer would be to err on the side of caution. Certainly repeated incompetence in a private setting would be grounds for suspension or termination.