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fzeroracer04/02/20251 replyview on HN

Well, the unfortunate beauty of touching the incredibly hot stove of Tariffs is that the pain is immediate and obvious. So assuming that these tariffs go through as is, we'll immediately launch into one of the worst recessions we've seen with price increases unlike anything Americans are used to.


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jiggawatts04/02/2025

A tariff of some +x% doesn’t cause a +x% increase in retail prices. The ratio is somewhere between 2:1 and 10:1 for most products, depending on the markup, local value add, taxes, etc…

The real damage is business uncertainty, inefficient capital allocation, etc… all of which takes years to fully impact the economy.

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