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rramadass04/03/20254 repliesview on HN

I see how the tariff numbers may have been calculated. But why is it done that way? What is the rationale behind such a calculation? Is this a way to balance the existing trade deficits? How does it work?

Would appreciate you (or anybody else) shed some light on the economics of the thing.


Replies

n2d404/03/2025

The label "tariffs charged to the US" is just straight-up wrong, either due to incompetence or malice (likely to justify the high tariffs).

But basing the tariffs on import/export ratio makes sense if your goal is to be a net exporter with every country, as it discourages imports until that's the case. It's still somewhat arbitrary though; my guess is that the White House is pursuing that goal mostly for political, not economical reasons.

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Qworg04/03/2025

You can see the report here: https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations

Given that both elasticities were set to cancel each other, that's why you get a flat trade deficit/imports calculation.

This is, sadly, the way a freshman econ student would calculate tariffs.

saberdancer04/03/2025

If he used real numbers the tariffs would be so low that it wouldn't make any sense.

cbovis04/03/2025

Suggestion that the admin is vibe governing: https://bsky.app/profile/amyhoy.bsky.social/post/3lluo7jmsss...