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brokencode04/04/20251 replyview on HN

You may be right here. The tariffs might not directly cause enough pain for the average person to matter.

The big unknown still is the impact on the economy and job market. His actions may reduce competitiveness of American companies globally due to retaliatory tariffs and resentment.

If the tariffs cause a recession, people will punish him for it.


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kcplate04/04/2025

My guess is that the stock market losses will be a greater driver than any cost increases on goods. And stock market losses will not necessarily push the middle class much, but will push GOP politicians into contention with Trump.

Ultimately Trump needs GOP in congress to be friendly…more than he needs the public at this point. He cant (and wont, despite the trolling) run again.

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