I thought you were pulling numbers out of your magic hat.
It seems true. Sorry for doubting you.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2024/10/14/weight...
I guess the 2400 for middle aged people is not that far off if in the 60s the average was right around there and people were healthier.
I'm about to say something that is easy to dismiss as bullshit, so feel free to, but you're right, people were healthier in terms of weight in the 60s, and right around that is when we changed dietary guidance to be carb-focused, low fat, etc. Since then, obesity has skyrocketed. The book Obesity Code covers this.
As sibling comments have pointed out, 3800 is availability, not consumption, so it's not an indicator of how much people do eat, just how much they could eat.