alt Hacker News>"assume people are innocent unless you see convincing evidence of guilt".
So... base assumption is innocent.
That's all I was saying.
Replies
eru • 06/16/2025
No. Base assumption doesn't have to be binary.
Just get some background rates, and assume that people are guilty with eg 0.1% probability. (Just a made a up number. Real priors should depend on a lot more context.)
Ok, I think you may have misinterpreted some other comments then. The argument was that "proven" in "innocent until proven guilt" is too high a bar for a low-stakes internet discussion.