alt Hacker NewsIt’s validated and filtered but isn’t it still guessing at the core? Should we call it validated guessing?
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groestl • last Wednesday at 5:49 AM
I think a validated guess is exactly what a prediction is.
It’s validated and filtered but isn’t it still guessing at the core? Should we call it validated guessing?
I think a validated guess is exactly what a prediction is.
If it's actually validated, according to rigorous principles, it's not a guess, but a system of predictions with a known confidence interval, that allows you to know if you can be sure of something.
Right now, you cannot get that far. And if you happen to... Tomorrow it will be different.
Predicting tides is possible. It requires enormous amounts of data and processing to be sure of it. Right now, we've got tides, but we don't have the data from the satellites. Because the owner is constantly shifting the prompt, for good reasons of their own. So we can't be confident - or we can only be so blindly.