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MichaelZuolast Saturday at 12:53 AM0 repliesview on HN

Well the critical thing is that we can’t determine who is at what percentile until after the fact. So for example an early bloomer genius type, who is 99.999th percentile among everyone in the same birth year cohort, could suddenly crash back down towards the average.

There’s no practical way to determine that looking forwards in time.