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noodletheworldlast Saturday at 3:39 AM1 replyview on HN

Are you being serious or sarcastic? I cant tell.

Seriously, that seems unlikely.

Changes like this may have an impact on employment but it’s impossible to observe the results in a vacuum.

Given that most large companies are towing the “AI means less jobs required” line, it seems likely that this will, at best, modestly slow the rate at which companies divest themselves of software developers.

I cant see any reasonable reason, in a broader context, this would have a meaningful impact.

(Yeah yeah, AI means more jobs one day maybe, but right now that is categorically not true, and the future is always pure speculation, but in the near term, the impact of this seems like it probably wont be material to me; maybe a small reduction in the number of layoffs)


Replies

BobbyJolast Saturday at 8:40 PM

> I cant see any reasonable reason, in a broader context, this would have a meaningful impact.

A significant amount of software dev employment is in startups. Companies that are spending on development, but aren't making much money yet, will see a huge benefit from this. The change in tax liability could mean a single seed or series A round paying for an extra 1-2 devs.