I might, depending on the definition.

Some kind of verbal-only-AGI that can solve almost all mathematical problems that humans come up with that can be solved in half a page. I think that's achievable somewhere in the near term, 2-7 years.

what's your definition? AGI original definition is median human across almost all fields which I believe is basically achieved. If superhuman (better than best expert) I expect <2030 for all nonrobotic tasks and <2035 for all tasks

I could see 2040 or so being very likely. Not off transformers though.

Theres usually some enlightened laymen in this kind of topic.

St. Fermi says no