I think it's important to not let valid criticisms of implausibly short AGI timelines cloud our judgments of AGI's potential impact. Compared to babies born today, AGI that's actually AGI may have many advantages:

- Faster reading and writing speed

- Ability to make copies of the most productive workers

- No old age

- No need to sleep

- No need to worry about severance and welfare and human rights and breaks and worker safety

- Can be scaled up and scaled down and redeployed much more quickly

- Potentially lower cost, especially with adaptive compute

- Potentially high processing speed

Even if AGI has downsides compared to human labor, it might also have advantages that lead to widespread deployment.

Like, if I had an employee with low IQ, but this employee could work 24 hours around the clock learning and practicing, and they could work for 200 years straight without aging, and they could make parallel copies of themselves, surely there would have to be some tasks at which they're going to outperform humans, right?