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crossbodylast Monday at 10:21 PM2 repliesview on HN

You need to multiple it by the probability of that new service actually succeeding, which is low.

And even then, do you expect it to move stock price by more than 10%? Otherwise it's not going to meaningfully impact your RSU compensation


Replies

jodrellblankyesterday at 12:30 PM

I don't need to do that. I contest the claim "doubling my production could only be equivalent" by giving a possible example where it isn't equivalent. That doesn't depend on how likely the example is, only that one (and many) of them could exist.

Muromeclast Monday at 10:42 PM

You are correct with regards to amazon. In earlier stage companies, your rsu can 3x overnight once you ship

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