> [...] we'd arrive at stability and consensus.
Honestly, that's basically happened, but just a generation later.
Most modern frameworks are doing very similar things under the hood. Svelte, SolidJS, and modern Vue (i.e. with Vapor mode) all basically do the same thing: they turn your template into an HTML string with holes in it, and then update those holes with dynamic data using signals to track when that data changes. Preact and Vue without Vapor mode also use signals to track reactivity, but use VDOM to rerender an entire component whenever a signal changes. And Angular is a bit different, but still generally moving over to using signals as the core reactivity mechanism.
The largest differences between these frameworks at this point is how they do templating (i.e. JSX vs HTML vs SFCs, and syntax differences), and the size of their ecosystems. Beyond that, they are all increasingly similar, and converging on very similar ideas.
The black sheep of the family here is React, which is doing basically the same thing it always did, although I notice even there that there are increasing numbers of libraries and tools that are basically "use signals with React".
I'd argue the signal-based concept fits really well with the DOM and browsers in general. Signals ensure that the internal application data stays consistent, but you can have DOM elements (or components) with their own state, like text boxes or accordions. And because with many of these frameworks, templates directly return DOM nodes rather than VDOM objects, you're generally working directly with browser APIs when necessary.
To egotistically comment on my own comment (unfortunately I can't edit any more):
This is all specific to frontend stuff, i.e. how do you build an application that mostly lives on the client. Generally, the answer to that seems to be signals* and your choice of templating system — unless you're using React, then the answer is pure render functions and additional mechanisms to attach state to that.
Where there's more exploration right now is how you build an application that spans multiple computers. This is generally hard — I don't think anyone has demonstrated an obvious way of doing this yet. In the old days, we had fully client-side applications, but syncing files was always done manually. Then we had applications that lived on external servers, but this meant that you needed a network round-trip to do anything meaningful. Then we moved the rendering back to the client which meant that the client could make some of its own decisions, and reduced the number of round trips needed, but this bloats the client, and makes it useless if the network goes down.
The challenge right now, then, is trying to figure out how to share code between client and server in such a way that
This is where most of the innovation in frontend frameworks is going towards. React has their RSCs (React Server Components, components that are written using React but render only on the server), and other frameworks are developing their own approaches. You also see it more widely with the growth of local-first software, which approaches the problem from a different angle (can we get rid of the server altogether?) but is essentially trying to solve the same core issues.And importantly here, I don't think anyone has solved these issues yet, even in older models of software. The reason this development is ongoing has nothing to do with the web platform (which is an incredible resource in many ways: a sandboxed mini-OS with incredibly powerful primitives), it's because it's a very old problem and we still need to figure out what to do about it.
* Or some other reactivity primitive or eventing system, but mostly signals.