alt Hacker News> We're nowhere close to AGI and don't have a clue how to get there.
You have to have a clue about where it is to know that we are nowhere close.
> isn't impressing anyone.
I'm very impressed. Gobsmacked even. Bill Gates just called AI "the biggest technical thing ever in my lifetime." And it isn't just Bill and me.
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In the n-dimensional solution space of all potential approaches (known and unknown) to building a true human equivalent AGI, what are the odds that current LLMs are even directionally correct?
We live on a planet with 7 billion other AGIs we can talk to. A lot more that we can't.
Our best efforts substantially underperform dealing with reality compared to a house cat.
Which is actually much more the source of my skepticism: regardless of how good an AI in a data center is, it's got precious few actual useful effectors in reality. Every impressive humanoid robot you see is built by technicians hand connecting wiring looms.
You could do a lot of damage by messing with all the computers...and promptly all the computers and data centers would stop working.
In unrelated news, Bill has something like $40 billion in MSFT stock. If he craps on AI, he craps on MSFT and thus himself and his foundation.