How about a vague prediction that covers all scenarios? XD

*ahem* It's gonna be like every other tool/societal paradigm shift like the smartphone before this, and planes/trains/cars/ships/factories/electricity/oil/steam/iron/bronze etc. before that:

• It'll coalesce into the hands of a few corporations.

• Idiots in governments won't know what the fuck to do with it.

• Lazy/loud civvies will get lazier/louder through it.

• There'll be some pockets of individual creativity and freedom, like open source projects, that will take varying amounts of time to catch on in popularity or fade away to obscurity.

• One or two killer apps that seem obvious but nobody thought of, will come out of nowhere from some nobody.

• Some groups will be quietly working away using it to enable the next shift, whether they know it or not.

• Aliens will land turning everything upside down. (I didn't say when)

But do you have the audacity to be wrong?

The problem is that the bubble people are so unimaginative, similar to Krugman, that those who have any inkling of an imagination can literally feel like visionaries compared to them. I know I’m describing Dunning-Krueger, but so be it, the bubble people are very very wrong. It’s like, man, they really are unable to imagine a very real future.

takes a lot of hubris to be sure it's a bubble too.