I agree with you.
If you took a Claude session into a time machine to 2019 and called it "rent a programmer buddy," how many people would assume it was a human? The only hint that it wasn't a human programmer would be things where it was clearly better: it types things very fast, and seems to know every language.
You can set expectations in the way you would with a real programmer: "I have this script, it runs like this, please fix it so it does so and so". You can do this without being very precise in your explanation (though it helps) and you can make typos, yet it will still work. You can see it literally doing what you would do yourself: running the program, reading the errors, editing the program, and repeating.
People need to keep in mind two things when they compare LLMs to humans: you don't know the internal process of a human either, he is also just telling you that he ran the program, read the errors, and edited. The other thing is the bar for thinking: a four-year old kid who is incapable of any of these things you would not deny as a thinking person.
> If you took a Claude session into a time machine to 2019 and called it "rent a programmer buddy," how many people would assume it was a human?
Depends on the users. Junior devs might be fooled. Senior devs would quickly understand that something is wrong.