alt Hacker News> then it stands to reason that by the time we reach AGI, it will already be superintelligent (smarter than humans in most domains)
> > Yes, that's more versatile than most of us, because most of us are not at or above the median practiced person in a wide range of tasks. But it's not what I think of when I hear "superintelligence," because its performance on any given task is likely still inferior to the best humans.
> AI is already better than a 50th percentile human on many/most intellectual tasks. Chess, writing business plans, literature reviews, emails, motion graphics, coding…
Note the caveat above of "with some practice." That's much less clear to me.
> That's much less clear to me.
But you must see that, if this point falls away, so does the argument.
“With some practice” surely means less 100 hours of practice. Not extensive practice, or PhD level practice or master-level practice.
Will the average person, after 100 hours of practice, really be rated better than AI at music, writing, visual art, coding, research, etc?