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alephnerd11/05/20251 replyview on HN

We can reach Vladivostok and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk by container ship (the others are inland), but like I mentioned before you hit the second issue of potentially miffing and alienating Asian partners like Japan and South Korea, semi-aligned states like India, and opposing states like China.

And even Ukraine can't afford to alienate China given the level of control and ownership China has over Ukrainian industrial capacity and infra [0]

That's why we haven't seen incidents in the Far East to the same scale as those in Siberia.

Honestly, it's a tough nut to crack if the EU, UK, and the US don't provide boots on the ground but we obviously can't given our priorities in the Pacific.

[0] - https://geostrategy.org.ua/en/analysis/briefs/kitay-postup-h...


Replies

JumpCrisscross11/05/2025

> you hit the second issue of potentially miffing and alienating Asian partners like Japan and South Korea, semi-aligned states like India, and opposing states like China

China is already arming Russia. Japanese and Korea refiners have been phasing out Russian crude. Miffing New Delhi is well worth forcing Moscow to move air defences around.

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