Widespread cognitive atrophy is virtually certain, and part of a longer trend that goes beyond just LLMs.
The same is true of other aspects of human wellbeing. Cars and junk food have made the average American much less physically fit than a century ago, but that doesn't mean there aren't lively subcultures around healthy eating and exercise. I suspect there will be growing awareness of cognitive health (beyond traditional mental health/psych domains), and indeed there are already examples of this.
Yes, average person will get dumber, but overall distribution will be increasingly bimodal.
I'm increasingly seeing this trend towards bimodal distribution. I suppose that future is quite far off, but the change to that may almost be irreversible.
We dont need AI to posit WallE.
Its bixarre anyone things these things are generating novel complexes.
The biggest indirect AI safety problem is the fallback position. Whether with airplanes or cars, fewer people will be able to handle AI disconnects. The risk is believing just because its viable now doesnt mean it works in the future.
So we definitely have safety issues but its not a nerdlike cognitivw interest, its the literal job taking that prevents humans from gaining skills.
Anyway, untill you solve basic reality with AI and actualnsafety systems, the billionaores will sacrifice you for greed.
People said the same thing about books and the written word in general