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short_sells_pootoday at 2:13 PM1 replyview on HN

It was nothing like covid. The dot com crash lasted years where tech was a dead sector. Equity valuations kept declining year after year. People couldn't find jobs in tech at all.

There are still plenty of tech jobs these days, just less than there were during covid, but tech itself is still in a massive expansionary cycle. We'll see how the AI bubble lasts, and what the fallout of it bursting will be.

The key point is that the going is still exceptionally good. The posts talking about experienced programmers having to flip burgers in the early 2000s is not an exaggeration.


Replies

nradovtoday at 4:12 PM

After the first Internet bubble popped, service levels in Silicon Valley restaurants suddenly got a lot better. Restaurants that had struggled to hire competent, reliable employees suddenly had their pick of applicants.

History always repeats itself in the tech industry. The hype cycle for LLMs will probably peak within the next few years. (LLMs are legitimately useful for many things but some of the company valuations and employee compensation packages are totally irrational.)