alt Hacker NewsWell, yes. But the expected deviation from the mean is still ≈7.07. And the probability that the outcome will be either 93/107 or 107/93 is (slightly) higher than the outcome being exactly 100.
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eviks • today at 4:54 PM
Why not go one abstraction further and go expected deviation from deviation? Probably the word "expected" plays a mind trick? "Expected" doesn't mean the probability increases, the easiest way to understand it is just by looking at the probability distribution function chart for coin tosses - you'll immediately see that mean has the highest chance of happenning, so exactly 100 is the most likely outcome
But those are 2 results. 100 / 100 is more likely than 93 / 107 (or any other specific result) is what I'm saying.