alt Hacker News> So if you only shoot 100/100 with your coin, that's definitely weird.
Not if you only try once.
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kalaksi • today at 4:54 PM
I'm sorry, but try what once? 200 flips once?
> So if you only shoot 100/100 with your coin, that's definitely weird.
Not if you only try once.
I'm sorry, but try what once? 200 flips once?
Even if you shoot only once, you still have a higher chance of hitting something slightly off the middle than the perfect 100/100. And this because that's one point-precise result (100/100) vs. a cumulated range of individually less-probable results, but more probable when taken as a whole.
For a fair coin, hitting 100/100 is ~5%, vs. ~30% falling in [97; 103] \ {100}. You can simulate here: https://www.omnicalculator.com/statistics/coin-flip-probabil...