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AndrewDavistoday at 8:43 AM3 repliesview on HN

To those who haven't heard how colossal the size of OpenAIs contracts are.

900,000 wafers monthly. Tom's hardware estimates that is equal to 40% of global dram production capacity.

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/dram/openais-star...


Replies

atwrktoday at 10:39 AM

I find it very telling that both Samsung and SK Hynix already stated that they don't plan to expand capacity - officially to prevent overcapacity in the future. It would also be plausable that both doubt OpenAI will follow through with the contract.

gbiltoday at 10:31 AM

Now thinking of this from the other side, 2 big DRAM producers are taking the risk to dedicate a very big part of their production to AI and if we assume they also have similar deals with other AI companies or big datacenters, what is their risk profile if the AI bubble bursts? Are they viable as companies then ? What is their plan B ?

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01HNNWZ0MV43FFtoday at 8:57 AM

At that point even if the AI bubble bursts you have a solid business as a RAM scalper

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