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comeonbroyesterday at 7:42 PM3 repliesview on HN

This is ultimately the first stage of human economic obsolescence and extinction.

This https://cdna.pcpartpicker.com/static/forever/images/trends/2... will happen to every class of thing (once it hits energy, everything is downstream of energy).


Replies

benlivengoodyesterday at 7:49 PM

If your argument is that value produced per-cpu will increase so significantly that the value produced by AGI/ASI per unit cost exceeds what humans can produce for their upkeep in food and shelter, then yes that seems to be one of the significant risks long term if governments don't intervene.

If the argument is that prices will skyrocket simply because of long-term AI demand, I think that ignores the fact that manufacturing vastly more products will stabilize prices up to the point that raw materials start to become significantly more expensive, and is strongly incentivized over the ~10-year timeframe for IC manufacturers.

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captainkrtekyesterday at 7:47 PM

I'm no economist, but if (when?) the AI bubble bursts and demand collapses at the price point memory and other related components are at, wouldn't price recover?

not trying to argue, just curious.

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kalterdevyesterday at 7:45 PM

Why should we believe in another apocalypse prediction?

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