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gsibbleyesterday at 8:10 PM2 repliesview on HN

What are you joking? Amazon is super far behind and unlikely to be able to launch its satellites in time to meet its FCC licensing requirements. They won't even be only for 24+ months. Meanwhile Starlink is growing very quickly.

Amazon is not a competitor until they actually have a viable product which they may never achieve.


Replies

danny_codesyesterday at 8:46 PM

Starlink is not going to be a monopoly. The other big countries won’t allow it.

Like Tesla, SpaceX was ahead of the game by making big bets on new technology. Over time, that lead erodes when other players start competing. Tesla is now a declining player in EVs rapidly falling behind market leaders in AV and battery tech. I suspect spaceX will have a similar trajectory

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standardUseryesterday at 8:36 PM

China will match Starlink in ~5 years and will push adoption hard through it's Belt and Road initiative, just as it has with it's (admittedly superior) GPS system. Starlink may become the de facto option in the Western world, but it won't have a chance at a global monopoly.

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