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thewebguydyesterday at 8:45 PM1 replyview on HN

> where the one who are supposed to refund banks will get the money?

Liquidating other assets. The point of the banks using SRTs is to push the default risk off of the bank and onto investors.

So now, instead of banks failing, private credit gets to bear the risk of the bubble popping. Since they can't sell the (now bad) AI debt, they will need to liquidate all of their other assets to pay the banks.

That's why a potential AI bubble burst can cause the markets to enter a death spiral and bring down a bunch of other, unrelated markets.

If private credit can't cover the losses by liquidating everything else, well, then they fail, and we either let it all crumble or do bailouts again.


Replies

spwa4yesterday at 10:25 PM

You forget the single greatest source of money for investors: loans. Sorry "margin". With the banks. And margin is nonnegotiable because the whole point of the stock market is to massively increased loaned money because that is the real advantage to the economy they provide.

Plus the problem of 2008. You cannot offload risk if everything is synchronized, the math still works but doesn't take "either everything crashes or nothing does" into account.