alt Hacker News"AI could never replace the creativity of a human"
"Ok, I guess it could wipe out the economic demand for digital art, but it could never do all the autonomous tasks of a project manager"
"Ok, I guess it could automate most of that away but there will always be a need for a human engineer to steer it and deal with the nuances of code"
"Ok, well it could never automate blue collar work, how is it gonna wrench a pipe it doesn't have hands"
The goalposts will continue to move until we have no idea if the comments are real anymore.
Remember when the Turing test was a thing? No one seems to remember it was considered serious in 2020
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The turing test is still a thing. No llm could pass for a person for more than a couple minutes of chatting. That’s a world of difference compared to a decade ago, but I would emphatically not call that “passing the turing test”
Also, none of the other things you mentioned have actually happened. Don’t really know why I bother responding to this stuff
> Remember when the Turing test was a thing? No one seems to remember it was considered serious in 2020
To be clear, it's only ever been a pop science belief that the Turing test was proposed as a literal benchmark. E.g. Chomsky in 1995 wrote:
The question “Can machines think?” is not a question of fact but one of language, and Turing himself observed that the question is 'too meaningless to deserve discussion'.> blue collar work
I don't think it's fair to qualify this as blue collar work
> "the creativity of a human"
> "the economic demand for digital art"
You twisted one "goalpost" into a tangential thing in your first "example", and it still wasn't true, so idk what you're going for. "Using a wrench vs preliminary layout draft" is even worse.
If one attempted to make a productive observation of the past few years of AI Discourse, it might be that "AI" capabilities are shaped in a very odd way that does not cleanly overlap/occupy the conceptual spaces we normally think of as demonstrations of "human intelligence". Like taking a 2-dimensional cross-section of the overlap of two twisty pool tubes and trying to prove a Point with it. Yet people continue to do so, because such myopic snapshots are a goldmine of contradictory venn diagrams, and if Discourse in general for the past decade has proven anything, it's that nuance is for losers.