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tw0412/10/20256 repliesview on HN

> Very few actual civilians ended up hurt by the detonations, much fewer than attacks by conventional weapons.

The reports are 4,000 wounded and 12 killed unintended targets in order to kill 42 targets.

On what planet is that “very few actual civilians”? I think you knew full well before posting that’s a ridiculous claim which is why you did it anonymously.


Replies

worldsavior12/10/2025

> in order to kill 42 targets.

This is not correct. Each one that had this pager was connected to Hezbollah, i.e. a soldier of Hezbollah. This attack was meant to "disable" a very big portion of Hezbollah, which it did (4000 of them).

This is one of the most sophisticated attacks to avoid civilian casualty.

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dralley12/10/2025

"The reports" are that 12 were killed total, not that 12 civilians were killed. Only 2 of the killed were civilians as far as I can tell. Several of those who people on Twitter tried to claim were civilians, including a doctor, were admitted by Hezbollah to be Hezbollah members and given Hezbollah funerals.

I've never heard of "42 targets", and given 12 people died total, obviously 42 targets were not killed.

You should provide some sourcing for your numbers.

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kyboren12/10/2025

> The reports are 4,000 wounded and 12 killed unintended targets

Which reports? According to whom? Hezbollah?

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sixstringninja12/10/2025

source?

ada198112/10/2025

For the IDF, a 28.6% civilian death rate is actually quite good. Their own classified data reveals an 83% civilian casualty rate in Gaza—nearly three times worse.

The Lebanon pager attack: 12 civilians (including 2 children) killed out of 42 total deaths (28.6% civilian casualty rate).

Gaza genocide: Leaked IDF intelligence documents show 8,900 militants killed out of 53,000 total deaths as of May 2025 (83% civilian casualty rate).

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fabian2k12/10/2025

The numbers you state are from the Lebanese government and Hizbollah. So I don't think we can assume they are accurate. I don't have any better numbers, though.

You specific argument though misuses even those numbers. 42 is the number of people actually killed. I couldn't figure out how many were targeted (how many pagers did explode), but I'd assume the number could be much higher than the number of deaths. Without that number we cannot determine how well targeted this was. I also don't think it is plausible that for every target you injure 100 bystanders. So I would assume the number of targets was at least an order of magnitude higher.

There's also another number from Hizbollah, that 1500 of their people were injured. But no idea it those would be included in the 4000 wounded number.