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SubiculumCodelast Wednesday at 8:52 PM1 replyview on HN

Perhaps a new category, 'highest risk guess but right the most often'. Those is the high impact predictions.


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arjielast Wednesday at 8:55 PM

Prediction markets have pretty much obviated the need for these things. Rather than rely on "was that really a hot take?" you have a market system that rewards those with accurate hot takes. The massive fees and lock-up period discourage low-return bets.

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