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bryanrasmussenlast Wednesday at 11:05 PM2 repliesview on HN

>The former is the boring, linear prediction.

right, because if there is one thing that history shows us again and again is that things that have a period of huge improvements never plateau but instead continue improving to infinity.

Improvement to infinity, that is the sober and wise bet!


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p-e-wlast Thursday at 12:56 AM

The prediction that a new technology that is being heavily researched plateaus after just 5 years of development is certainly a daring one. I can’t think of an example from history where that happened.

pixl97last Thursday at 4:43 AM

Tiger: humans will never beat tigers because tigers are purpose built killing machines and they are just generalist --40,000BC

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