I think this article is "why startups died pre-2020", rather than "why startups die [now]".
Lots of this article relates to the reasons startups died when cash was freely available - both from VCs and from the markets you were trying to find product in. For example, if you started an online learning company in March 2020, you'd have hit product right away (along with a thousand competitors), and been lathered with cash from every direction. But three years later, all of those startups were struggling, and I don't know of _any_ that survived. That's not a case of the business owners in 1000 discrete companies giving up. That's the entire world economy reverting back to in-person learning, and the disappearance of the ultra-low interest rates for the company to fall back on while it pivots.
In 2025, founders need to be acutely aware of exogenous factors, as they can be business-obliterating events without the social safety net of 0-1% IR.
Why do you say pre-2020? 2020-2021 were the easiest times ever for funding with a lot of money-printing and zero rates (unlike 2018-2019!). Only in 2022 things started to get worse, and ground to a halt, at least for everyone outside of the AI bubble, from 2023. Now all who i know who are still operating, do so simply with the money raised before. Companies are going belly up left and right simply because that money runs out.
Interesting opinion. Perhaps it's because I am a founder pre-2020 and lots of my thinking was shaped around that. What else do you think changed post-2020?