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queseralast Friday at 11:27 PM1 replyview on HN

I think this is just an appealing fantasy.

80% of modern Americans would not survive and successfully complete a month-long walk of hundreds of miles.

Add in the logistical challenges, necessary supplies, and secrecy ... and of course the possibility of harsh seasonal weather ... and I think we're talking about a 5% survival rate, at the absolute max.

People might think they are more likely to be in that 5% than their neighbors, but I suspect most of the dangers are random or universal enough that this would not be true. Fortune favors the prepared, certainly. But that only gets you so far.

There is no viable bug out strategy, after a certain point (and that point is far from today, and will likely never be reached).

But there are midterm elections, and those are important.


Replies

willis936last Friday at 11:30 PM

That's why I'm saying make a plan and pack a bag. That rate goes up by many factors with preparation. That is a fact, not a fantasy.

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