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mathgradthrowyesterday at 3:28 PM5 repliesview on HN

1 in 400 US citizens is diagnosed with parkinsons, if by "thousands", this headline means 5000, then 1 in 2000 US farmers has Parkinson's. Stop it.


Replies

tredre3yesterday at 3:40 PM

Skepticism is healthy. You've found that the numbers don't make sense at face value. The problem is that you stopped there, you haven't even made any attempt at reconciling them with the original claim.

What if the US number of 1 in 400 figure is that high precisely because it includes people exposed to pesticide? In other words, maybe the number would be 1 in 500 if it weren't for Paraquat? You'd have to look at concentration maps or at the very least check what's the diagnosis rates in other countries before you can truly dismiss the claim, imho.

zamadatixyesterday at 3:31 PM

The article already talks to the numbers they mean and what scale they believe it to be:

> More than 6,400 lawsuits against Syngenta and Chevron that allege a link between paraquat and Parkinson’s are pending in the U.S. District Court of Southern Illinois. Another 1,300 cases have been brought in Pennsylvania, 450 in California and more are scattered throughout state courts.

> “I do think it’s important to be clear that number is probably not even close to representative of how many people have been impacted by this,” said Christian Simmons, a legal expert for Drugwatch.

show 1 reply
lm28469yesterday at 3:35 PM

If only we had tools like science and statistics... https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00139...

slashdevyesterday at 3:33 PM

The article mentions epidemiological studies showing that people living or working near farmland where paraquat is used have a higher incidence of Parkinson's.

Don't be so quick to dismiss it, there could be a link.

tastyfreezeyesterday at 3:35 PM

Paraquat was used in horrendous amounts mid century. It may be a dose dependant outcome.