An order of magnitude, really? An experienced user with an LLM is going to accomplish in 2026 what would have otherwise taken until 2036?

The problem is many users are not experienced. And the more they rely on AI to do their work, the less likely they are to ever become experienced.

An inexperienced junior engineer delegating all their work to an LLM is an absolute recipe for disaster, both for the coworkers and product. Code reviews take at least 3x as long. They cannot justify their decisions because the decisions aren't theirs. I've seen it first hand.