You should google the definition of credible since it seems you don't know it... (Hint, it doesn't mean 100% true)
It really boils down to: do you trust a brutal communist dictatorship that has been attacking the West asymmetrically and wants to invade its neighbours to be honest?
Multiple Western governments believe it was a lab leak and coincidentally I'm sure, relations with China have been quite bad since.
My evidence is genetic material; your evidence is state intelligence